Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.339997 3.740247 4.173985 4.679666 5.253956 5.886945 6.638925
2024-10-13 2.746556 3.275039 3.888632 4.656453 5.595424 6.711178 8.144654
2024-10-20 2.351160 2.939037 3.658114 4.608013 5.838180 7.388735 9.508858
2024-10-27 1.982219 2.571134 3.321641 4.356652 5.760097 7.615572 10.285410
2024-11-03 1.793741 2.403657 3.209641 4.364633 5.996826 8.250148 11.647385
2024-11-10 1.675930 2.312634 3.182069 4.472294 6.366010 9.087048 13.371962
2024-11-17 1.553682 2.200275 3.109279 4.500976 6.614395 9.763038 14.922219
2024-11-24 1.448645 2.100671 3.042057 4.525346 6.850057 10.432347 16.525219
2024-12-01 1.356101 2.009872 2.977309 4.542916 7.070090 11.089905 18.172853
2024-12-08 1.245456 1.881854 2.844366 4.439511 7.083256 11.410329 19.282734
2024-12-15 1.166756 1.796176 2.768505 4.417728 7.222689 11.944500 20.811823
2024-12-22 1.091498 1.709752 2.683863 4.372363 7.314785 12.401295 22.245793
2024-12-29 1.067969 1.706241 2.734753 4.562389 7.837544 13.675719 25.378141
2025-01-05 1.008005 1.638355 2.674227 4.555475 8.010744 14.339698 27.428531
2025-01-12 0.947120 1.564264 2.597197 4.511845 8.111008 14.875401 29.287364
2025-01-19 0.857893 1.435559 2.417028 4.267068 7.811931 14.617715 29.481433
2025-01-26 0.817639 1.388992 2.376698 4.275059 7.994332 15.314873 31.774525
2025-02-02 0.795453 1.372549 2.388251 4.380322 8.374947 16.445455 35.156883
2025-02-09 0.763523 1.336293 2.361019 4.408364 8.602455 17.282707 37.989587
2025-02-16 0.733346 1.301131 2.333097 4.432182 8.822375 18.124613 40.944027
2025-02-23 0.704435 1.266356 2.303301 4.449353 9.028966 18.957268 43.987955
2025-03-02 0.662791 1.204999 2.218727 4.348297 8.972535 19.198971 45.604502
2025-03-09 0.633820 1.165982 2.174629 4.327009 9.087247 19.838112 48.310932